World Cup 2026 Quarter-Finals — Full Preview, Odds and the Path to the Semis
Available in USThe last eight is set, and it opens today. France against Morocco kicks off the quarter-finals in Boston, and by late Saturday night the four semi-finalists will be known. For a Canadian audience the tournament changed on July 4 — Morocco knocked the co-hosts out 3–0 in the Round of 16 — so the neutral watch now starts with France trying to do what Canada could not. This is the practitioner’s guide to all four ties: who is favoured, where the value sits, and how the bracket funnels into Dallas and Atlanta.
- France (~2.80) are the clear outright favourite; Argentina (~4.90) and Spain (~4.70) head the chasing pack.
- The four ties run July 9–11: France-Morocco, Spain-Belgium, Norway-England, Argentina-Switzerland.
- All three co-hosts (Canada, USA, Mexico) and five-time champions Brazil are eliminated.
- Norway (first QF ever) and Switzerland (first since 1954) are the outsiders’ stories.
- Every match odd here is a media-consensus range — line-shop before betting.
What You Need to Know in 30 Seconds
- The favourite: France (~2.80) — six wins from six, meanest short price on the board.
- The form horse: Argentina (~4.90), shortened hard after a 3–2 comeback win over Egypt.
- The Cinderellas: Norway (~15.0) in a first-ever quarter-final; Switzerland (~34.0), first since 1954.
- Today’s tie: France vs Morocco, 4:00 PM ET, Gillette Stadium — a 2022 semi-final rematch.
- The play: the outright board is set at overnight prices, so the value is in the individual ties, not the flat futures.
The Four Quarter-Finals at a Glance
| Tie | Date (ET) | Kickoff (ET) | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| France vs Morocco | Thu Jul 9 | 4:00 PM | Gillette Stadium, Boston (Foxborough) |
| Spain vs Belgium | Fri Jul 10 | 3:00 PM | SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles |
| Norway vs England | Sat Jul 11 | 5:00 PM | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami |
| Argentina vs Switzerland | Sat Jul 11 | 9:00 PM | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City |
All 104 matches air in Canada on TSN, so every quarter-final is available nationally — the two Saturday ties make a full doubleheader from late afternoon into the night.
The Outright Board
| Market | Selection | Decimal |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | France | ~2.80 |
| Winner | Spain | ~4.70 |
| Winner | Argentina | ~4.90 |
| Winner | England | ~5.60 |
| Winner | Norway | ~15.0 |
| Winner | Morocco | ~28.0 |
| Winner | Belgium | ~31.0 |
| Winner | Switzerland | ~34.0 |
Odds: media-aggregated snapshot (FanDuel via FOX Sports), converted to decimal, as of July 8, 2026 11:29 AM ET. Cross-book ranges: France 2.75–2.88, Spain 4.50–4.70, Argentina 4.00–5.00, England 5.00–5.70. Treat as ranges and confirm at your book.
France sit clear at the top after winning all six matches, though the 1–0 last-eight escape against Paraguay — settled by a Mbappé penalty — was a reminder that the margins are thinner than the price. Argentina are the movers: backed from a live tournament-low into ~4.90 after clawing back a 3–2 win over Egypt. On some UK books Argentina are shorter than Spain, so this is a genuine line-shop.
Tie-by-Tie: Where the Value Sits
France vs Morocco (Thu, 4:00 PM ET)
A rerun of the 2022 semi-final, which France won 2–0. France are short home-side favourites (~1.56–1.59) with Morocco the value underdog (~6.00–6.90). Aurélien Tchouaméni is a real doubt for France; Morocco lost Ismael Saïbi to a thigh injury. Full read in our France vs Morocco preview.
Spain vs Belgium (Fri, 3:00 PM ET)
The tournament’s best defence against a leaky Belgium missing Amadou Onana (ACL). Spain (~1.61) have kept four straight clean sheets; the H2H is 6–1 to Spain across seven meetings. Detail in our Spain vs Belgium preview.
Norway vs England (Sat, 5:00 PM ET)
Haaland’s Norway (~3.80) against an England side (~1.85–1.95) hit by a suspension-and-injury crisis — Quansah banned, Henderson out. Our Norway vs England preview breaks it down.
Argentina vs Switzerland (Sat, 9:00 PM ET)
Messi (tournament-leading 8 goals) and Argentina (~1.71–1.80) against a Switzerland side (~5.25) in its first quarter-final in 72 years. See the Argentina vs Switzerland preview.
The Path to the Final
That structure matters for futures bettors: France and Spain are on a collision course for the same semi-final, so the top two on the board cannot both reach the final. If you are backing an outright, the half of the draw containing Argentina, England and Norway is the thinner one on paper.
How to Play the Quarter-Finals
- Trust the individual ties over the futures. The outright board is priced off overnight numbers; the match markets move with team news.
- Watch the France and Spain doubt list. Tchouaméni (France) and Nico Williams (Spain) are both question marks that shift their short prices.
- Respect the underdog defences. Switzerland and Morocco both advanced on clean-sheet resilience — the unders and draw-no-bet lines are live.
- [ ] Confirm the live consensus price against your sportsbook before betting
- [ ] Check late team news for France (Tchouaméni) and Spain (Nico Williams)
- [ ] Compare Argentina’s outright price across US and UK books
- [ ] Set your unit size and stake to confidence across the three days
For the futures market, our World Cup 2026 winner odds page tracks the outright board and the World Cup 2026 odds hub covers the wider markets. New to knockout betting? Start with the World Cup 2026 betting guide. Canadian offers are on our best World Cup betting sites in Canada page — Boomerang Bet and ZotaBet both price these markets in CAD.
19+. Gamble responsibly. Odds change quickly during the tournament — verify current prices and your provincial eligibility before betting. If gambling is affecting you, contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600.
